Reforming the Right: A Brand New Image (Part II of V)
Let’s look at the possible outcomes of the current election cycle:
Conor Friedersdorf suggests that the best possible short term outcome for the revitalization of the GOP is an Obama presidency.
Overall I’d say the best case for conservatives is an Obama Presidency whose overambitious agenda provokes a GOP backlash in the 2010 midterms, causing a chastened Obama Administration to focus on bipartisan entitlement reforms that only a Democratic president could pass. As I think about it, what I’m saying is the best we can hope for is another Clinton Administration sans the affairs while the right regroups, casts aside the corrupt yes men who enabled the Bush Administration to do so many un-conservative things, and develops a coherent, appealing domestic agenda. My assumption is that such a process could not proceed with John McCain and Sarah Palin in the White House.
James Poulos disagrees:
The best-case scenario for conservatives this election season is a Presidential blowout and a gridlocked Congress. If McCain wins in a landslide (if! I said if!), the political and philosophical reappraisal of conservatism and the GOP that’s already underway will continue under conditions of relative calm. Even a major McCain win will not fool anyone that Bush’s main political legacy is anything beside sweeping and profound disappointment among Americans generally and conservatives in particular. A huge vote for McCain wouldn’t be a mandate for either him or the party; it would be an awkward plea for a national pause. For conservatives, the inevitable internecine conflict that will put a McCain presidency on pause will at least avoid the special kind of petty panic and bitterness that accompanies a narrow loss. And a big win would let McCain spring a one-term pledge on the country without looking like a guy without the support to attempt another four years.
But he raises an interesting point:
Conservatives… really want to know how an Obama blowout and a seized-up Congress could also make for a best-case scenario. Simple: a narrow McCain win or loss will keep Republicans locked in a death struggle over the true meaning of conservatism and the identity of the party. So long as Congress doesn’t flip completely and utterly into Democratic hands, a landslide for Obama will do conservatives much more good than harm. Without an all-powerful Democratic House and Senate behind him—or, more likely, in front of him, pulling him along — a President Obama (even with an apparent mandate) would be high on inspiration and togetherness but low on power and ambition.
However, the current polling data trends suggest a Democratic power surge into both the House and the Senate. An Obama victory in the presidential campaign may well sweep more Democrats into office leaving Conservatives little opportunity to voice, let alone advance, any conservative ideas, let alone an agenda.









